Utkal Speciality Industries IPO Allotment Chances

Category-wise allotment probability for Utkal Speciality Industries SME IPO, estimated from live subscription data. Use the dropdown to check another IPO.

Utkal Speciality Industries IPO

Listed SME
Price Band
Rs 62 - 66
Lot Size
4000 shares
Total Subscription
1.60x
Allotment Chances — Utkal Speciality Industries IPO
Retail 47.6% (2.10x subscribed)
Moderate chance
S-HNI (2-10L) 100.0% (0.89x subscribed)
High chance
B-HNI (>10L) 86.2% (1.16x subscribed)
High chance
QIB 89.3% (1.12x subscribed)
High chance
If 100 retail investors apply, approximately 48 will get allotment.
Based on current subscription data. Actual allotment depends on total applications received and SEBI's lot-based proportional allotment rules.

How IPO Allotment Chances Are Calculated

IPO allotment probability is calculated by dividing 1 by the subscription times for each category. For example, if retail subscription is 10x, the allotment chance is 1/10 = 10% — meaning approximately 10 out of every 100 retail applicants will receive allotment.

In oversubscribed IPOs, SEBI mandates that each retail applicant can receive a maximum of one lot. If the number of applicants exceeds available lots, allotment is done by computerized lottery. Applying for more lots does not increase your chances — each PAN gets equal probability.

Tip: Apply from multiple family members' demat accounts (different PANs) to increase your overall household probability of getting allotment.

How Allotment Works for Each Category

  • Retail (RII): When oversubscribed, allotment is by computerised lottery at one lot per applicant. SEBI requires that, as far as possible, every applicant gets at least one lot — so if applicants outnumber available lots, a random draw decides who gets the single lot. Bidding for more lots does not improve your odds.
  • S-HNI & B-HNI (NII): Allotment is proportionate — larger applications receive proportionally more shares, subject to a minimum-lot draw. SEBI splits NII into Small (₹2–10 lakh) and Big (above ₹10 lakh) sub-categories, each with its own reservation.
  • QIB: Allotted on a proportionate basis by the merchant banker; anchor investors are carved out of the QIB portion a day before the issue opens.
  • Employee / Shareholder: Where a reserved quota exists, it is usually under-subscribed, so allotment odds here are often the highest of any category.

What Affects Your Allotment Chances

  • Oversubscription level — the single biggest factor. A 2x retail subscription means roughly a 1-in-2 chance; 20x means about 1-in-20.
  • Category you apply in — retail lottery vs NII proportionate behave very differently at the same subscription level.
  • Number of distinct PANs — each PAN is one independent lottery entry; only one application per PAN counts.
  • Total issue size & lot count — more available lots means more winners in the retail draw.
GMP Update